Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team FYloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Scccwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team FY
No games played over 6 months.
Team Sccc
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
480 picks · 562 bans
Ringmaster
449 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
353 picks · 706 bans
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 486 bans
Ancient Apparition
309 picks · 722 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 252 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 91 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Team FY
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total69% Team Sccc
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:10
Team FY 31%Team Sccc 69%
The model gave 69% on Team Sccc — the game was taken by Team Sccc in 18:11.
Game 2prediction correct31:26
Team FY 31%Team Sccc 69%
The model gave 69% on Team Sccc — the game was taken by Team Sccc in 48:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sccc · 69%
Series resultTeam Sccc 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2