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European Pro League Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Quantum Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Hryvnia

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
StoneBank · 2 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
100%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
0%

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 17 games
41%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
emptiness · 13 games
23%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 12 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
42%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Palantimos · 11 games
55%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 11 games
27%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
570 picks · 643 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
490 picks · 249 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
472 picks · 424 bans
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
405 picks · 857 bans
47%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
392 picks · 444 bans
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
384 picks · 568 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
378 picks · 336 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
357 picks · 835 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 37%
Hero pool strength52% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total58% Quantum Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Hryvnia 42%Quantum Team 58%
The model gave 58% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Hryvnia 42%Quantum Team 58%
The model gave 58% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuantum Team · 58%
Series resultQuantum Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2