European Pro League Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Runa Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Hryvnia
Dawnbreakeroften banned
StoneBank · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Puckoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
StoneBank · 1 game
Runa Team
Windranger
queezy · 31 game
Tinysignature
nicky`cool · 27 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hduo · 17 games
Batridersignature
queezy · 17 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
nicky`cool · 15 games
Naga Sirensignature
Hduo · 14 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Shigetsu · 14 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Alberkaaa · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
565 picks · 637 bans
Ringmaster
490 picks · 248 bans
Jakiro
464 picks · 424 bans
Terrorblade
400 picks · 854 bans
Shadow Shaman
383 picks · 436 bans
Storm Spirit
378 picks · 564 bans
Tusk
374 picks · 327 bans
Ancient Apparition
356 picks · 834 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength59% Runa Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Runa Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Hryvnia 14%Runa Team 86%
The model gave 86% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Hryvnia 14%Runa Team 86%
The model gave 86% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteRuna Team · 86%
Series resultRuna Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2