Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Hryvniawin 1:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team NextUploss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Team NextUp
Batrideroften banned
VaniLLl · 11 games
Morphlingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
Razoroften banned
Miyaoo · 7 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 7 games
Marsoften banned
Miyaoo · 6 games
Crystal Maiden
jesv · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mirage · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 218 bans
Tiny
435 picks · 638 bans
Batrider
419 picks · 726 bans
Centaur Warrunner
408 picks · 581 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 363 bans
Rubick
391 picks · 164 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 799 bans
Shadow Demon
343 picks · 959 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 28%
Hero pool strength56% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team NextUp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Hryvnia 45%Team NextUp 55%
The model gave 55% on Team NextUp — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam NextUp · 55%
Series resultTeam Hryvnia 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1