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EPL Masters I · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Jenzloss 0:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Jenz

Lina
Linasignature
No!ob · 6 games
83%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
No!ob · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 5 games
80%
Luna
Luna
Parker · 5 games
100%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Jing · 5 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Jing · 4 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Yadomi · 3 games
0%
Largo
Largooften banned
No!ob · 2 games
50%

Nemiga Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 23 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
39%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 21 game
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 20 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 20 games
50%
Techies
Techies
ariel · 18 games
44%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 16 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
ariel · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
498 picks · 363 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
365 picks · 653 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
350 picks · 196 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
334 picks · 376 bans
58%
Tiny
Tiny
321 picks · 345 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
311 picks · 448 bans
56%
Windranger
Windranger
311 picks · 232 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
296 picks · 424 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% Team Jenz
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Jenz
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:41
Team Jenz 53%Nemiga Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Jenz — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 31:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNo!ob
51% · 405 games50% · 189 games
Tinybyun
Tiny
Mirana
MiranaJing
55% · 72 games47% · 338 games
Puckyoung G
Puck
Bane
BaneislA
54% · 185 games47% · 47 games
Winter Wyvernariel
Winter Wyvern
42% · 88 games
Dark WillowCovisnine
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct21:41
Team Jenz 50%Nemiga Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 42:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightNo!ob
55% · 80 games52% · 167 games
Invokeryoung G
Invoker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkJing
48% · 406 games48% · 81 game
Lifestealerbyun
Lifestealer
Tusk
TuskislA
55% · 245 games48% · 399 games
SnapfireCovisnine
Snapfire
42% · 84 games
Miranaariel
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Jenz · 51%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2