European Pro League Season 16 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kleewin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
B8 Esports
Grimstrokeoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 20 games
Shadow Shamansignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 17 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 15 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
StoneBank · 15 games
Earthshakersignature
Dendi · 14 games
Lion
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
Rubick
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
Slardaroften banned
StoneBank · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
349 picks · 524 bans
Phoenix
300 picks · 438 bans
Vengeful Spirit
298 picks · 217 bans
Lion
293 picks · 261 bans
Magnus
265 picks · 416 bans
Grimstroke
264 picks · 457 bans
Nature's Prophet
259 picks · 753 bans
Faceless Void
256 picks · 632 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 49%
Hero pool strength54% B8 Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total79% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:14
Team Klee 79%B8 Esports 21%
The model gave 79% on Team Klee — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 44:16.
Game 2prediction missed24:32
Team Klee 79%B8 Esports 21%
The model gave 79% on Team Klee — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 40:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 79%
Series resultTeam Klee 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2