Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kleewin 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SIBE Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
SIBE Team
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 11 games
Primal Beastsignature
erase · 11 games
Pangoliersignature
erase · 10 games
Brewmastersignature
klassnokruto · 9 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 9 games
Pugnaoften banned
y0nd · 7 games
Skywrath Magesignature
emptiness · 7 games
Terrorbladesignature
nesfeer · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
266 picks · 349 bans
Dark Willow
239 picks · 113 bans
Treant Protector
221 picks · 477 bans
Phoenix
207 picks · 308 bans
Muerta
203 picks · 305 bans
Nature's Prophet
196 picks · 410 bans
Vengeful Spirit
194 picks · 191 bans
Pangolier
192 picks · 359 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 76%
Hero pool strength60% SIBE Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:34
Team Klee 52%SIBE Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Klee — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 32:58.
Game 2prediction missed18:32
Team Klee 52%SIBE Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Klee — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 31:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 52%
Series resultTeam Klee 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2