Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Северная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionTKTeam KNGI NAwin 2:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CICyberDragon Infinityloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team KNGI NA
No games played over 6 months.
CyberDragon Infinity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
764 picks · 496 bans
Tiny
544 picks · 392 bans
Tusk
539 picks · 445 bans
Treant Protector
532 picks · 581 bans
Nature's Prophet
413 picks · 627 bans
Snapfire
393 picks · 275 bans
Death Prophet
380 picks · 676 bans
Ember Spirit
358 picks · 770 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team KNGI NA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% CyberDragon Infinity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team KNGI NA 39%CyberDragon Infinity 61%
The model gave 61% on CyberDragon Infinity — the game was taken by Team KNGI NA.
Game 2prediction correct
Team KNGI NA 39%CyberDragon Infinity 61%
The model gave 61% on CyberDragon Infinity — the game was taken by CyberDragon Infinity.
Game 3prediction missed
Team KNGI NA 39%CyberDragon Infinity 61%
The model gave 61% on CyberDragon Infinity — the game was taken by Team KNGI NA.
Model check result
Model favoriteCyberDragon Infinity · 61%
Series resultTeam KNGI NA 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3