ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kukuyswin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AAnlackyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Kukuys
Marci
Palos · 7 games
Mirana
Palos · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jing · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 4 games
Tuskoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Natsumi · 3 games
Dark Willow
Jing · 3 games
Lone Druidoften banned
Palos · 3 games
Anlacky
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
459 picks · 373 bans
Clockwerk
427 picks · 540 bans
Batrider
379 picks · 484 bans
Lion
374 picks · 194 bans
Gyrocopter
364 picks · 588 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 399 bans
Pangolier
358 picks · 586 bans
Beastmaster
341 picks · 857 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Kukuys 51%Anlacky 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Kukuys 51%Anlacky 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Kukuys · 51%
Series resultTeam Kukuys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2