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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kukuysloss 0:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Jackky and friendswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Kukuys

Mars
Marssignature
JG · 9 games
67%
Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 8 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Gabbi · 7 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptor
DJ · 6 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Armel · 6 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
DJ · 6 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Kuku · 5 games
40%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Armel · 5 games
60%

Jackky and friends

Mars
Marsoften banned
Jabz · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
JaCkky · 1 game
100%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Oli · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
JaCkky · 1 game
0%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Emo · 1 game
0%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Oli · 1 game
100%
Pugna
Pugna
Oli · 1 game
0%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
555 picks · 743 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
498 picks · 355 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 644 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
444 picks · 547 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
378 picks · 639 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
366 picks · 547 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
356 picks · 167 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
354 picks · 116 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Team Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:18
Team Kukuys 51%Jackky and friends 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Jackky and friends in 34:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Kukuys · 51%
Series resultJackky and friends 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1