DreamLeague Season 28. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Kukuyswin 1:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TTeklaloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Kukuys
Tusk
DJ · 8 games
Disruptor
DJ · 6 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Gabbi · 6 games
Marssignature
JG · 6 games
Snapfire
DJ · 6 games
Bane
Kuku · 4 games
Leshrac
Armel · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Armel · 4 games
Tekla
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yowe · 5 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Abat · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Abat · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Abat · 2 games
Void Spirit
Yowe · 2 games
Bloodseeker
Abat · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Yowe · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
567 picks · 642 bans
Tusk
503 picks · 329 bans
Dragon Knight
492 picks · 685 bans
Snapfire
461 picks · 171 bans
Centaur Warrunner
441 picks · 526 bans
Hoodwink
432 picks · 206 bans
Mars
392 picks · 527 bans
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 499 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Team Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Kukuys 80%Tekla 20%
The model gave 80% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Team Kukuys.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Kukuys · 80%
Series resultTeam Kukuys 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1