Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Rubick
Boxi · 30 games
Luna
miCKe · 29 games
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 28 games
Doomsignature
33 · 26 games
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 25 games
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
iNSaNiA · 20 games
Enchantressoften banned
iNSaNiA · 19 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
385 picks · 670 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 452 bans
Gyrocopter
319 picks · 374 bans
Dark Willow
311 picks · 351 bans
Weaver
311 picks · 592 bans
Rubick
307 picks · 191 bans
Hoodwink
302 picks · 219 bans
Pangolier
290 picks · 532 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 48%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:7
Team Liquid 79%beastcoast 21%
The model gave 79% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 28:17.
Game 2prediction correct30:16
Team Liquid 79%beastcoast 21%
The model gave 79% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 31:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 79%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2