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The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tiny
miCKe · 28 games
39%
Marci
Marcisignature
Boxi · 19 games
63%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iNSaNiA · 17 games
53%
Razor
Razorsignature
zai · 15 games
60%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
zai · 14 games
57%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
MATUMBAMAN · 14 games
50%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
MATUMBAMAN · 14 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Boxi · 13 games
69%

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
14%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
500 picks · 394 bans
52%
Marci
Marci
437 picks · 670 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
298 picks · 463 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
289 picks · 697 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
284 picks · 397 bans
47%
Undying
Undying
260 picks · 466 bans
56%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
253 picks · 332 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
249 picks · 848 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 71%
Hero pool strength56% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:11
Team Liquid 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 31:54.
Game 2prediction missed10:26
Team Liquid 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 26:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2