BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:1
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tiny
miCKe · 23 games
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 22 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 21 game
Shadow Shaman
Boxi · 21 game
Tusk
Boxi · 19 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SabeRLight- · 18 games
Marcisignature
Boxi · 18 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 29 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
Muertasignature
Save- · 20 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
570 picks · 286 bans
Disruptor
508 picks · 513 bans
Puck
379 picks · 1047 bans
Pugna
340 picks · 387 bans
Hoodwink
337 picks · 170 bans
Warlock
335 picks · 156 bans
Mars
334 picks · 567 bans
Tusk
322 picks · 237 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 10
Model total67% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:34
Team Liquid 61%BETBOOM TEAM 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetmiCKe
AbaddonKiritych
Dark SeerAce
Sand KinggpK~
Ember SpiritNisha
TidehunterMieRo
SilencertOfu
GrimstrokeSave-
PudgeBoxi
JakiroKataomi
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1