?
arrow_backBack to match
PGL Wallachia Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 46 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Boxi · 29 games
69%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Ace · 28 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 28 games
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 28 games
57%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 28 games
75%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ace · 25 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
Nisha · 25 games
68%

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 43 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 38 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 37 games
59%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 25 games
68%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 24 games
54%
Warlock
Warlock
Kataomi · 23 games
35%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
622 picks · 598 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
499 picks · 409 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
469 picks · 399 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
433 picks · 469 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
415 picks · 196 bans
58%
Warlock
Warlock
412 picks · 263 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
391 picks · 1036 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
379 picks · 864 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head5 – 6
Model total61% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:36
Team Liquid 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangermiCKe
50% · 152 games46% · 151 game
Monkey KingKiritych
Monkey King
Slardar
SlardarNisha
57% · 181 game41% · 138 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Brewmaster
BrewmasterAce
49% · 107 games60% · 280 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Lich
LichtOfu
25% · 14 games49% · 124 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Hoodwink
HoodwinkEkki
52% · 247 games63% · 8 games
Winter WyvernKataomi
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction missed11:32
Team Liquid 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinymiCKe
51% · 250 games49% · 136 games
KezKiritych
Kez
Lycan
LycanAce
54% · 87 games48% · 316 games
Queen of PaingpK~
Queen of Pain
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNisha
50% · 278 games53% · 164 games
DawnbreakerMieRo
Dawnbreaker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightEkki
54% · 82 games51% · 114 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Phoenix
PhoenixtOfu
47% · 174 games45% · 141 game
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 61%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2