Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tusksignature
Boxi · 30 games
Snapfiresignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
Tinysignature
Boxi · 20 games
Enigmasignature
zai · 18 games
Undyingsignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
Rubicksignature
iNSaNiA · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
miCKe · 15 games
Treant Protectorsignature
iNSaNiA · 15 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
798 picks · 565 bans
Tiny
578 picks · 399 bans
Treant Protector
521 picks · 551 bans
Tusk
508 picks · 415 bans
Nature's Prophet
468 picks · 755 bans
Death Prophet
422 picks · 864 bans
Snapfire
417 picks · 299 bans
Ember Spirit
365 picks · 875 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)74% vs 51%
Hero pool strength63% Team Liquid
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total73% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:23
Team Liquid 73%Entity 27%
The model gave 73% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 46:52.
Game 2prediction correct27:11
Team Liquid 73%Entity 27%
The model gave 73% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 34:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 73%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2