Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Rubick
Boxi · 30 games
Luna
miCKe · 29 games
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 28 games
Doomsignature
33 · 28 games
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 27 games
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
iNSaNiA · 20 games
Enchantressoften banned
iNSaNiA · 19 games
Entity
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DM · 1 game
Chaos Knightoften banned
Watson · 1 game
Crystal Maiden
Fishman · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
DM · 1 game
Elder Titan
Fishman · 1 game
Grimstroke
Kataomi · 1 game
Hoodwink
Kataomi · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
386 picks · 688 bans
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 375 bans
Clockwerk
320 picks · 462 bans
Weaver
318 picks · 608 bans
Hoodwink
315 picks · 241 bans
Rubick
312 picks · 203 bans
Dark Willow
310 picks · 350 bans
Pangolier
293 picks · 542 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 72%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total57% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:32
Team Liquid 43%Entity 57%
The model gave 57% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 35:36.
Game 2prediction correct33:34
Team Liquid 43%Entity 57%
The model gave 57% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 45:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 57%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2