PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Lunasignature
miCKe · 31 game
Rubick
Boxi · 25 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 25 games
Brewmastersignature
33 · 21 game
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 21 game
Doomsignature
33 · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 18 games
Batridersignature
Boxi · 17 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
480 picks · 210 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 608 bans
Batrider
398 picks · 739 bans
Rubick
382 picks · 155 bans
Centaur Warrunner
381 picks · 533 bans
Gyrocopter
366 picks · 311 bans
Pangolier
347 picks · 711 bans
Mars
332 picks · 543 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total69% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:11
Team Liquid 69%G2 Invictus Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 42:33.
Game 2prediction correct35:15
Team Liquid 69%G2 Invictus Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 39:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 69%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2