?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 28 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
zai · 19 games
79%
Tiny
Tiny
Boxi · 19 games
58%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
78%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
iNSaNiA · 17 games
76%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
miCKe · 16 games
75%
Undying
Undyingsignature
iNSaNiA · 16 games
75%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
MATUMBAMAN · 15 games
73%

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 23 games
70%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 18 games
61%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 16 games
69%
Lina
Linasignature
dyrachyo · 15 games
87%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 15 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 15 games
80%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 14 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
738 picks · 470 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
526 picks · 383 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
526 picks · 574 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
526 picks · 455 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
409 picks · 583 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
381 picks · 255 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
370 picks · 614 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
348 picks · 742 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 66%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total60% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:25
Team Liquid 55%Gaimin Gladiators 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 27:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorblademiCKe
53% · 354 games46% · 69 games
Naga Sirendyrachyo
Naga Siren
Visage
Visagezai
54% · 218 games55% · 174 games
PuckQuinn
Puck
Invoker
InvokerNisha
48% · 202 games47% · 291 game
Death ProphetAce
Death Prophet
Dazzle
DazzleiNSaNiA
47% · 158 games43% · 207 games
RubickSeleri
Rubick
Primal Beast
Primal BeastBoxi
55% · 250 games51% · 441 game
TinytOfu
Tiny
Game 2prediction missed19:45
Team Liquid 54%Gaimin Gladiators 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNisha
44% · 147 games50% · 253 games
Nature's ProphetAce
Nature's Prophet
Spectre
SpectremiCKe
60% · 85 games51% · 89 games
Sniperdyrachyo
Sniper
Primal Beast
Primal Beastzai
41% · 207 games52% · 250 games
BatriderQuinn
Batrider
Snapfire
SnapfireiNSaNiA
49% · 395 games54% · 337 games
ClockwerktOfu
Clockwerk
Tusk
TuskBoxi
46% · 387 games55% · 292 games
UndyingSeleri
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 60%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2