Team Liquid vs GamerLegion — prediction PWS 6 · Dota 2

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PGL Wallachia Season 6 · BO3

result vs prediction

Team Liquidwin 2:0

series probability

97%3%

probability at match start · final 2:0

GamerLegionloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Puckoften banned

Nisha · 28 games

54%

Tusk

Boxi · 26 games

54%

Dark Willow

Boxi · 24 games

54%

Batridersignature

Boxi · 23 games

61%

Dawnbreakeroften banned

SabeRLight- · 19 games

37%

Marcisignature

Boxi · 19 games

63%

Shadow Shaman

Boxi · 19 games

37%

Snapfire

Boxi · 19 games

42%

GamerLegion

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Snapfire

743 picks · 351 bans

54%

Disruptor

607 picks · 635 bans

52%

Hoodwink

540 picks · 290 bans

51%

Tusk

437 picks · 260 bans

50%

Puck

436 picks · 1182 bans

50%

Dragon Knight

433 picks · 475 bans

51%

Mars

427 picks · 709 bans

52%

Jakiro

384 picks · 247 bans

47%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)48% vs 50%

Hero pool strength50% GamerLegion

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total97% Team Liquid

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct28:7

Team Liquid 85%GamerLegion 15%

The model gave 85% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 35:02.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo