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Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Heroicloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 43 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 31 game
68%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 30 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 25 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 24 games
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 24 games
71%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Boxi · 23 games
43%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
miCKe · 23 games
48%

Heroic

Magnus
Magnussignature
Wisper · 30 games
60%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Scofield · 29 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 26 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 24 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 23 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 20 games
55%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 18 games
61%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
483 picks · 520 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
453 picks · 480 bans
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
366 picks · 204 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
354 picks · 360 bans
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
350 picks · 746 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
348 picks · 520 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
328 picks · 209 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
321 picks · 510 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Heroic
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total51% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:19
Team Liquid 52%Heroic 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 43:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNisha
49% · 121 game46% · 159 games
Shadow FiendYuma
Shadow Fiend
Ursa
UrsamiCKe
52% · 123 games48% · 196 games
Kunkka4nalog
Kunkka
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerSabeRLight-
47% · 166 games56% · 64 games
AxeWisper
Axe
Naga Siren
Naga SireniNSaNiA
59% · 145 games50% · 141 game
EarthshakerScofield
Earthshaker
Tusk
TuskBoxi
47% · 290 games47% · 285 games
PhoenixKJ
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct20:52
Team Liquid 49%Heroic 51%
The model gave 51% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 44:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinymiCKe
47% · 397 games58% · 347 games
Ember Spirit4nalog
Ember Spirit
Puck
PuckNisha
47% · 182 games46% · 122 games
Queen of PainYuma
Queen of Pain
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerSabeRLight-
43% · 157 games52% · 175 games
Dark SeerWisper
Dark Seer
Marci
MarciBoxi
47% · 111 games56% · 139 games
Naga SirenKJ
Naga Siren
Bane
BaneiNSaNiA
54% · 45 games54% · 109 games
Nyx AssassinScofield
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 51%
Accuracy by game2 of 2