BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 1:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Beastmastersignature
33 · 25 games
Tinysignature
Nisha · 25 games
Razorsignature
miCKe · 22 games
Clockwerkoften banned
iNSaNiA · 21 game
Muerta
Boxi · 21 game
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 20 games
Morphlingsignature
miCKe · 19 games
OG
Hoodwink
Ari · 28 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Ari · 25 games
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 24 games
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 18 games
Beastmastersignature
Wisper · 16 games
Invokeroften banned
Nine · 16 games
Batridersignature
Ari · 15 games
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
500 picks · 685 bans
Clockwerk
428 picks · 485 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 540 bans
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
348 picks · 179 bans
Dragon Knight
329 picks · 463 bans
Enchantress
320 picks · 642 bans
Batrider
314 picks · 322 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total84% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:16
Team Liquid 68%OG 32%
The model gave 68% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 31:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightmiCKe
Alchemist23savage
InvokerNisha
BristlebackWisper
SlardarSabeRLight-
PuckNine
Bounty HunterBoxi
EnchantressxNova
JakiroiNSaNiA
HoodwinkAri
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 84%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1