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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OG LATAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 41 game
66%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 36 games
72%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 28 games
71%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 25 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 23 games
74%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
miCKe · 21 game
43%
Silencer
Silencersignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
62%

OG LATAM

Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 4 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
MoOz · 4 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
MoOz · 3 games
0%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Elmisho · 3 games
0%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 3 games
33%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 3 games
67%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
MoOz · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
503 picks · 494 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 576 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
400 picks · 190 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
310 picks · 561 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
279 picks · 389 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
272 picks · 161 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
263 picks · 559 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 475 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 20%
Hero pool strength61% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:11
Team Liquid 81%OG LATAM 19%
The model gave 81% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 28:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinV-Tune
50% · 178 games46% · 101 game
AlchemistK1
Alchemist
Brewmaster
BrewmasterSabeRLight-
48% · 108 games48% · 343 games
PangolierDarkMago
Pangolier
Monkey King
Monkey KingNisha
62% · 262 games54% · 182 games
Dark SeerILICH-
Dark Seer
Warlock
WarlockiNSaNiA
47% · 173 games48% · 250 games
TuskElmisho
Tusk
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBoxi
41% · 233 games56% · 78 games
Ancient ApparitionMoOz
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct37:24
Team Liquid 82%OG LATAM 18%
The model gave 82% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 34:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingV-Tune
55% · 245 games50% · 176 games
DoomK1
Doom
Underlord
UnderlordSabeRLight-
51% · 128 games49% · 209 games
TimbersawILICH-
Timbersaw
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightNisha
47% · 417 games53% · 256 games
Ember SpiritDarkMago
Ember Spirit
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitioniNSaNiA
54% · 138 games46% · 277 games
TuskMoOz
Tusk
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanBoxi
51% · 103 games43% · 113 games
SilencerElmisho
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 95%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2