The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tiny
miCKe · 28 games
Marcisignature
Boxi · 19 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iNSaNiA · 17 games
Razorsignature
zai · 15 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
zai · 14 games
Lone Druidoften banned
MATUMBAMAN · 14 games
Pudgesignature
MATUMBAMAN · 14 games
Marsoften banned
zai · 12 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
496 picks · 384 bans
Marci
423 picks · 644 bans
Death Prophet
293 picks · 461 bans
Puck
283 picks · 690 bans
Dawnbreaker
281 picks · 395 bans
Undying
252 picks · 447 bans
Winter Wyvern
252 picks · 334 bans
Batrider
248 picks · 820 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 41%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:24
Team Liquid 47%Royal Never Give Up 53%
The model gave 53% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 57:19.
Game 2prediction correct6:26
Team Liquid 47%Royal Never Give Up 53%
The model gave 53% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 20:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2