DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Spiritloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 32 games
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 24 games
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 20 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 20 games
Tusksignature
Nisha · 20 games
Doomsignature
zai · 19 games
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 18 games
Team Spirit
Rubicksignature
Mira · 52 games
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 28 games
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 25 games
Tinysignature
Larl · 24 games
Beastmastersignature
Collapse · 21 game
Undyingsignature
Miposhka · 21 game
Magnussignature
Collapse · 20 games
Pangoliersignature
Larl · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
754 picks · 632 bans
Disruptor
606 picks · 533 bans
Doom
535 picks · 1052 bans
Beastmaster
533 picks · 1318 bans
Ember Spirit
463 picks · 1176 bans
Pangolier
458 picks · 949 bans
Techies
448 picks · 465 bans
Mirana
440 picks · 226 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:9
Team Liquid 53%Team Spirit 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 34:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautmiCKe
BloodseekerYatoro
Visagezai
Void SpiritLarl
MarciNisha
Winter WyvernCollapse
TechiesBoxi
EnchantressMiposhka
SilenceriNSaNiA
RubickMira
Game 2prediction missed22:33
Team Liquid 53%Team Spirit 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 37:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BloodseekermiCKe
Faceless VoidYatoro
Abaddonzai
SnapfireLarl
Void SpiritNisha
BeastmasterCollapse
PugnaBoxi
RubickMira
TechiesiNSaNiA
LichMiposhka
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2