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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Yandexwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 31 game
52%
Puck
Pucksignature
Nisha · 28 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 20 games
45%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
53%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 18 games
78%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
59%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
53%

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 31 game
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 29 games
76%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
79%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
607 picks · 939 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
537 picks · 436 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 646 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
484 picks · 654 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
443 picks · 956 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
397 picks · 654 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
393 picks · 531 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
380 picks · 233 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 63%
Hero pool strength55% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:27
Team Liquid 48%Team Yandex 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 30:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackmiCKe
55% · 191 game49% · 253 games
UrsaWatson
Ursa
Leshrac
LeshracNisha
46% · 147 games50% · 156 games
UnderlordNoticed
Underlord
Brewmaster
BrewmasterAce
47% · 73 games47% · 188 games
Void SpiritChira JUNIOR
Void Spirit
Batrider
BatridertOfu
49% · 226 games59% · 160 games
ChenMalady
Chen
Tiny
TinyBoxi
54% · 315 games44% · 195 games
WindrangerSaksa
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 52%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1