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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Tundra Esportswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 37 games
68%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
61%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 28 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
64%
Kez
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
61%
Largo
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
61%

Tundra Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 36 games
69%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Ari · 33 games
70%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 31 game
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
bzm · 30 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
33 · 29 games
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 28 games
61%
Batrider
Batridersignature
33 · 27 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
bzm · 27 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
548 picks · 341 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
478 picks · 565 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
444 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
429 picks · 355 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
368 picks · 505 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
323 picks · 849 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
317 picks · 214 bans
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
316 picks · 801 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 49%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 5
Model total60% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:28
Team Liquid 54%Tundra Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 26:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangermiCKe
38% · 33 games53% · 181 game
DoomPure~
Doom
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAce
47% · 255 games50% · 329 games
Ember Spiritbzm
Ember Spirit
Bristleback
BristlebackNisha
40% · 196 games54% · 157 games
Largo33
Largo
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectortOfu
57% · 103 games56% · 115 games
Keeper of the LightAri
Keeper of the Light
Hoodwink
HoodwinkBoxi
45% · 353 games57% · 158 games
BaneWhitemon
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 60%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1