BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 1:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tusk
Boxi · 31 game
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 27 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 20 games
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
Batrideroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 17 games
Windrangeroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
Xtreme Gaming
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 18 games
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 17 games
Snapfiresignature
fy · 14 games
Marssignature
Xxs · 13 games
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
Disruptor
xNova · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
607 picks · 939 bans
Tusk
537 picks · 435 bans
Centaur Warrunner
492 picks · 646 bans
Dragon Knight
484 picks · 655 bans
Shadow Demon
443 picks · 955 bans
Ember Spirit
397 picks · 655 bans
Mars
393 picks · 530 bans
Warlock
379 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 59%
Hero pool strength54% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total55% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:18
Team Liquid 49%Xtreme Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 46:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingmiCKe
LeshracNothingToSay
PuckNisha
WeaverAme
RazorAce
TimbersawXxs
TinyBoxi
Spirit Breakerfy
JakirotOfu
DisruptorxNova
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 55%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1