DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tusk
Boxi · 38 games
Pucksignature
Nisha · 29 games
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 23 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 22 games
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
Shadow Demonsignature
Boxi · 20 games
Windrangersignature
Boxi · 20 games
Yakult Brothers
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 30 games
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 28 games
Puckoften banned
Emo · 26 games
Jakirooften banned
天命 · 23 games
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 20 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 20 games
Leshrac
Moon · 19 games
Marsoften banned
zeal · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
619 picks · 959 bans
Tusk
512 picks · 429 bans
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 625 bans
Shadow Demon
433 picks · 981 bans
Tiny
425 picks · 466 bans
Dragon Knight
420 picks · 515 bans
Warlock
418 picks · 256 bans
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 661 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 34%
Hero pool strength57% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total96% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:12
Team Liquid 85%Yakult Brothers 15%
The model gave 85% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 26:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendmiCKe
LinaMoon
UnderlordAce
Leshracflyfly
SlardarNisha
Dark SeerYang
Shadow DemontOfu
Jakiro天命
MarciBoxi
Earth SpiritBoBoKa
Game 2prediction correct24:18
Team Liquid 84%Yakult Brothers 16%
The model gave 84% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 34:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightmiCKe
LinaMoon
HuskarNisha
Morphlingflyfly
TidehunterAce
Centaur WarrunnerYang
Spirit BreakerBoxi
Chen天命
Shadow DemontOfu
ClockwerkBoBoKa
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 96%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2