Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Balu Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 27 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 24 games
Rubick
QBFY · 23 games
Phoenixoften banned
kreker · 22 games
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 22 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
Dark Willowsignature
QBFY · 19 games
Balu Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
585 picks · 356 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 577 bans
Rubick
470 picks · 251 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 383 bans
Pangolier
394 picks · 544 bans
Puck
334 picks · 901 bans
Beastmaster
327 picks · 831 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Team Lynx
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total87% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
Team Lynx 87%Balu Team 13%
The model gave 87% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 18:02.
Game 2prediction correct0:0
Team Lynx 87%Balu Team 13%
The model gave 87% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 28:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 87%
Series resultTeam Lynx 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2