BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 1:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DDevil_Kingsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Dark Willow
QBFY · 33 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 31 game
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 26 games
Techies
kreker · 26 games
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 26 games
Rubick
QBFY · 24 games
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 21 game
Tidehunter
VladikTheHtiviy · 19 games
Devil_Kings
Axeoften banned
azimoff · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Dinozavrik · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
482 picks · 319 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 504 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 387 bans
Bane
314 picks · 438 bans
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 625 bans
Mirana
291 picks · 108 bans
Dark Willow
283 picks · 117 bans
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% Devil_Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:12
Team Lynx 83%Devil_Kings 17%
The model gave 83% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 30:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 83%
Series resultTeam Lynx 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1