?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 1:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Inner Circleloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Lynx

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 29 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 26 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 26 games
62%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 24 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 23 games
57%
Techies
Techies
kreker · 21 game
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
45%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 17 games
41%

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 19 games
32%
Kez
Kezoften banned
423 · 11 games
27%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 11 games
45%
Bane
Banesignature
Se · 9 games
89%
Rubick
Rubick
Fernans · 9 games
33%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Se · 9 games
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 8 games
25%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
laise · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
490 picks · 331 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
351 picks · 462 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 528 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 503 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
316 picks · 651 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
290 picks · 319 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
274 picks · 200 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
261 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Team Lynx
Head-to-head7 – 0
Model total73% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Lynx 73%Inner Circle 27%
The model gave 73% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 73%
Series resultTeam Lynx 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1