?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 36 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 2:1
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MODUSloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Lynx

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 24 games
58%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 23 games
65%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 20 games
65%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 20 games
65%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
mellojul · 19 games
53%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 18 games
61%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
QBFY · 18 games
61%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
7jesu · 18 games
56%

MODUS

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 3 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
bottega · 2 games
0%
Muerta
Muerta
bottega · 2 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
mrls · 2 games
0%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 2 games
0%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
bottega · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
elmo^^ · 1 game
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
elmo^^ · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
650 picks · 691 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
528 picks · 453 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
504 picks · 423 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
444 picks · 439 bans
54%
Warlock
Warlock
436 picks · 289 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
410 picks · 1118 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
405 picks · 873 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
402 picks · 187 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 25%
Hero pool strength65% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Lynx 89%MODUS 11%
The model gave 89% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by MODUS.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Lynx 89%MODUS 11%
The model gave 89% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Game 3prediction correct
Team Lynx 89%MODUS 11%
The model gave 89% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 89%
Series resultTeam Lynx 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3