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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Lynxloss 0:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Pasika UAwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Lynx

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 18 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 14 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 13 games
62%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 13 games
38%
Mars
Marsoften banned
fortniteMan · 12 games
50%
Sand King
Sand King
mellojul · 11 games
27%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
7jesu · 10 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
mellojul · 10 games
70%

Pasika UA

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
kreker · 1 game
0%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
QBFY · 1 game
0%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
mangekyou · 1 game
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 1 game
0%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
kreker · 1 game
0%
Razor
Razor
mangekyou · 1 game
0%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
QBFY · 1 game
0%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Batyuk · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
548 picks · 745 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
489 picks · 353 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 640 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 542 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
373 picks · 644 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
362 picks · 550 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
349 picks · 158 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 468 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Pasika UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:26
Team Lynx 49%Pasika UA 51%
The model gave 51% on Pasika UA — the game was taken by Pasika UA in 43:02.
Model check result
Model favoritePasika UA · 51%
Series resultPasika UA 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1