The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Pporki4loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Tidehunteroften banned
StoneBank · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
StoneBank · 3 games
Slardar
StoneBank · 3 games
Wraith King
StoneBank · 3 games
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 2 games
Morphlingoften banned
lightless · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
lightless · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
DarkLord^ · 2 games
porki4
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 637 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 648 bans
Tusk
285 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% porki4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Lynx 56%porki4 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Lynx 56%porki4 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 56%
Series resultTeam Lynx 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2