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European Pro League Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 2:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Quantum Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Lynx

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
StoneBank · 5 games
20%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
StoneBank · 3 games
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 3 games
33%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
StoneBank · 3 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith King
StoneBank · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 2 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
lightless · 2 games
50%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
StoneBank · 2 games
100%

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 17 games
41%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
emptiness · 13 games
23%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 12 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
42%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Palantimos · 11 games
55%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Lukas · 11 games
27%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
565 picks · 637 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
490 picks · 248 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
464 picks · 424 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
400 picks · 854 bans
47%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
383 picks · 436 bans
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
378 picks · 564 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
374 picks · 327 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
356 picks · 834 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 39%
Hero pool strength52% Team Lynx
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total54% Quantum Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Lynx 46%Quantum Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Lynx 46%Quantum Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuantum Team · 54%
Series resultTeam Lynx 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2