i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMawin 2:0series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
414 picks · 189 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 133 bans
Nyx Assassin
299 picks · 601 bans
Dragon Knight
280 picks · 360 bans
Puck
280 picks · 617 bans
Mars
277 picks · 469 bans
Winter Wyvern
265 picks · 243 bans
Lina
252 picks · 361 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Team MagMa
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total74% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:48
Team MagMa 26%Invictus Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 41:35.
Game 2prediction correct23:37
Team MagMa 26%Invictus Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 42:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 74%
Series resultTeam MagMa 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2