i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMaloss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 19 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 15 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 14 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 14 games
Death Prophetsignature
Dy · 12 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Dy · 11 games
Juggernautoften banned
poyoyo · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
410 picks · 984 bans
Void Spirit
375 picks · 531 bans
Mars
351 picks · 569 bans
Death Prophet
343 picks · 711 bans
Grimstroke
335 picks · 335 bans
Lion
309 picks · 170 bans
Tusk
305 picks · 227 bans
Earth Spirit
268 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 47%
Hero pool strength60% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total74% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:18
Team MagMa 26%Vici Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 41:41.
Game 2prediction correct35:26
Team MagMa 26%Vici Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 50:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 74%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2