Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMaloss 0:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
318 picks · 441 bans
Bane
276 picks · 207 bans
Monkey King
272 picks · 687 bans
Tidehunter
266 picks · 409 bans
Snapfire
248 picks · 135 bans
Weaver
246 picks · 522 bans
Void Spirit
216 picks · 247 bans
Lina
211 picks · 473 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Team MagMa
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Team MagMa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:18
Team MagMa 64%Ybb Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on Team MagMa — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 39:27.
Game 2prediction missed37:24
Team MagMa 64%Ybb Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on Team MagMa — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 36:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam MagMa · 64%
Series resultYbb Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2