Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Maybewin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team 老陈loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Maybe
No games played over 6 months.
Team 老陈
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
494 picks · 485 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 548 bans
Ringmaster
362 picks · 168 bans
Terrorblade
279 picks · 535 bans
Storm Spirit
262 picks · 370 bans
Phantom Assassin
260 picks · 516 bans
Tusk
260 picks · 148 bans
Muerta
258 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Maybe
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Team Maybe
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:30
Team Maybe 70%Team 老陈 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Maybe — the game was taken by Team Maybe in 45:41.
Game 2prediction correct23:19
Team Maybe 70%Team 老陈 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Maybe — the game was taken by Team Maybe in 42:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Maybe · 70%
Series resultTeam Maybe 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2