Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Maybewin 2:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Scccloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Maybe
No games played over 6 months.
Team Sccc
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
507 picks · 584 bans
Jakiro
493 picks · 442 bans
Ringmaster
466 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
363 picks · 734 bans
Storm Spirit
331 picks · 512 bans
Ancient Apparition
328 picks · 753 bans
Tusk
318 picks · 277 bans
Windranger
303 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Maybe
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Team Maybe
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:22
Team Maybe 76%Team Sccc 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Maybe — the game was taken by Team Maybe in 42:35.
Game 2prediction missed35:27
Team Maybe 76%Team Sccc 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Maybe — the game was taken by Team Sccc in 38:48.
Game 3prediction correct18:1
Team Maybe 76%Team Sccc 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Maybe — the game was taken by Team Maybe in 20:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Maybe · 76%
Series resultTeam Maybe 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3