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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Nemesisloss 0:2
series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Nemesis

Tiny
Tinysignature
rubikon155 · 24 games
63%
Windranger
Windranger
Q · 19 games
47%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 18 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Jabz · 16 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Lelis · 14 games
71%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 12 games
33%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jaunuel · 12 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
4nalog · 11 games
45%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 32 games
47%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 23 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 18 games
39%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
35%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 15 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 15 games
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
shiro · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
622 picks · 439 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 314 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
412 picks · 386 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 581 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
378 picks · 419 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 500 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
341 picks · 633 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total85% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:37
Team Nemesis 30%Vici Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 50:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
Lycanrubikon155
46% · 93 games50% · 221 game
Shadow Fiendshiro
Shadow Fiend
Puck
Puck4nalog
48% · 267 games40% · 27 games
ZeusXinQ
Zeus
Kunkka
KunkkaJabz
54% · 35 games50% · 44 games
Earth SpiritXm
Earth Spirit
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonLelis
52% · 196 games45% · 183 games
TidehunterFaith_bian
Tidehunter
Lich
LichYamSun
53% · 69 games56% · 185 games
Baney`
Bane
Game 2prediction correct20:35
Team Nemesis 30%Vici Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 38:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
Invoker4nalog
53% · 94 games58% · 79 games
Clinkzshiro
Clinkz
Tiny
Tinyrubikon155
50% · 243 games48% · 23 games
LinaXm
Lina
Snapfire
SnapfireJabz
41% · 185 games53% · 272 games
DoomFaith_bian
Doom
Hoodwink
HoodwinkLelis
51% · 300 games47% · 199 games
LionXinQ
Lion
Lich
LichYamSun
53% · 62 games47% · 311 games
Clockwerky`
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 85%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2