CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team NextUploss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Hryvniawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team NextUp
Batrideroften banned
so bad · 8 games
Razoroften banned
Miyaoo · 7 games
Lifestealeroften banned
7jesu · 6 games
Sven
7jesu · 6 games
Void Spirit
Mirage · 6 games
Disruptoroften banned
HappyDyurara · 5 games
Elder Titan
VaniLLl · 4 games
Morphlingoften banned
7jesu · 4 games
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
408 picks · 302 bans
Hoodwink
405 picks · 419 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 899 bans
Weaver
391 picks · 809 bans
Pangolier
352 picks · 535 bans
Phoenix
347 picks · 702 bans
Clockwerk
346 picks · 478 bans
Gyrocopter
314 picks · 382 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 41%
Hero pool strength59% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% Team Hryvnia
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team NextUp 40%Team Hryvnia 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Hryvnia — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia.
Game 2prediction correct
Team NextUp 40%Team Hryvnia 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Hryvnia — the game was taken by Team Hryvnia.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Hryvnia · 60%
Series resultTeam Hryvnia 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2