BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionTOTeam Orcaloss 1:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Orca
No games played over 6 months.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Young PH · 8 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ksh · 6 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 6 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Spectreoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
550 picks · 376 bans
Queen of Pain
478 picks · 570 bans
Mars
449 picks · 623 bans
Weaver
431 picks · 813 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 171 bans
Kunkka
343 picks · 543 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 576 bans
Wraith King
282 picks · 343 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:14
Team Orca 46%Yangon Galacticos 54%
The model gave 54% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 40:53.
Game 2prediction correct35:22
Team Orca 46%Yangon Galacticos 54%
The model gave 54% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 39:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 54%
Accuracy by game2 of 2