Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Scccwin 2:0series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DDloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sccc
No games played over 6 months.
Team DD
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
482 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 550 bans
Ringmaster
444 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
347 picks · 681 bans
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 463 bans
Ancient Apparition
299 picks · 694 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 246 bans
Windranger
288 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Team Sccc
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total63% Team DD
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:29
Team Sccc 37%Team DD 63%
The model gave 63% on Team DD — the game was taken by Team Sccc in 39:26.
Game 2prediction missed31:30
Team Sccc 37%Team DD 63%
The model gave 63% on Team DD — the game was taken by Team Sccc in 52:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DD · 63%
Series resultTeam Sccc 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2