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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Secretwin 2:0
series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Secret

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 18 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Armel · 15 games
40%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 13 games
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Armel · 12 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Armel · 12 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
yamich · 12 games
42%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 11 games
45%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Puppey · 11 games
64%

BETBOOM TEAM

Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
68%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 30 games
70%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 28 games
68%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 27 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 24 games
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 22 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
638 picks · 687 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
512 picks · 335 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
452 picks · 976 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
415 picks · 933 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 863 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
392 picks · 351 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
384 picks · 1003 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
382 picks · 448 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:10
Team Secret 31%BETBOOM TEAM 69%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Secret in 46:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Earthshaker
EarthshakerArmel
42% · 170 games60% · 135 games
MedusaNightfall
Medusa
Dark Seer
Dark SeerFbz
59% · 129 games47% · 87 games
LycanPure~
Lycan
Monkey King
Monkey KingCrystallis
54% · 247 games50% · 332 games
TinygpK~
Tiny
Batrider
Batrideryamich
49% · 336 games50% · 191 game
EnchantressSave-
Enchantress
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonPuppey
41% · 142 games48% · 279 games
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Undying
Game 2prediction missed32:10
Team Secret 30%BETBOOM TEAM 70%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Secret in 27:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinArmel
41% · 181 game47% · 239 games
DoomPure~
Doom
Dark Seer
Dark SeerFbz
56% · 138 games41% · 320 games
SnapfiregpK~
Snapfire
Razor
RazorCrystallis
57% · 92 games53% · 142 games
Faceless VoidNightfall
Faceless Void
Enigma
Enigmayamich
57% · 181 game48% · 213 games
EnchantressSave-
Enchantress
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPuppey
55% · 393 games44% · 71 game
LichTORONTOTOKYO
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 81%
Series resultTeam Secret 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2