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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Secretwin 1:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Secret

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
YapzOr · 11 games
82%
Io
Iooften banned
Puppey · 10 games
30%
Rubick
Rubick
YapzOr · 9 games
44%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
YapzOr · 8 games
63%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
Puppey · 8 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Puppey · 7 games
86%
Magnus
Magnussignature
zai · 7 games
71%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
YapzOr · 7 games
71%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Snapfire
Snapfire
Jhocam · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
AlaCrity · 6 games
83%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Jhocam · 4 games
75%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
inYourdreaM · 4 games
50%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Meracle · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Poloson · 4 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Meracle · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
541 picks · 363 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 577 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
440 picks · 594 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
417 picks · 733 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
350 picks · 540 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
335 picks · 168 bans
46%
Wraith King
Wraith King
280 picks · 354 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% Team Secret
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:19
Team Secret 51%Nigma Galaxy SEA 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 34:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 51%
Series resultTeam Secret 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1