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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Secretloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Secret

Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
BOOM · 17 games
71%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Crystallis · 15 games
40%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 14 games
64%
Batrider
Batridersignature
yamich · 11 games
64%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Armel · 11 games
36%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 10 games
30%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Fbz · 10 games
60%

Tundra Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 12 games
75%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Topson · 12 games
75%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 11 games
36%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Sneyking · 10 games
70%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Sneyking · 9 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Topson · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Aui_2000 · 8 games
38%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Whitemon · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
256 picks · 425 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
247 picks · 381 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
245 picks · 341 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
216 picks · 204 bans
46%
Muerta
Muerta
204 picks · 285 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
200 picks · 510 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
197 picks · 98 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
180 picks · 322 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% Team Secret
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total68% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:37
Team Secret 43%Tundra Esports 57%
The model gave 57% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 42:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Primal Beast
Primal BeastBOOM
53% · 220 games54% · 110 games
Monkey KingPure~
Monkey King
Slark
SlarkCrystallis
50% · 148 games45% · 194 games
DoomMinD_ContRoL
Doom
Windranger
WindrangerEkki
44% · 234 games52% · 106 games
Void SpiritTopson
Void Spirit
Lion
LionPuppey
52% · 143 games53% · 186 games
Techies9Class
Techies
48% · 149 games
Shadow DemonWhitemon
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct38:36
Team Secret 41%Tundra Esports 59%
The model gave 59% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 48:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerCrystallis
54% · 66 games47% · 22 games
MeepoPure~
Meepo
Doom
DoomBOOM
52% · 184 games46% · 58 games
InvokerTopson
Invoker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightPuppey
54% · 134 games46% · 103 games
Centaur WarrunnerMinD_ContRoL
Centaur Warrunner
Windranger
WindrangerEkki
41% · 101 game50% · 58 games
ChenWhitemon
Chen
54% · 244 games
Techies9Class
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 68%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2