DreamLeague Season 28. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionTSTeam Slayersloss 1:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GG Boomwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Slayers
No games played over 6 months.
GG Boom
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
562 picks · 652 bans
Tusk
508 picks · 327 bans
Dragon Knight
490 picks · 674 bans
Centaur Warrunner
447 picks · 528 bans
Snapfire
445 picks · 160 bans
Hoodwink
419 picks · 201 bans
Mars
386 picks · 520 bans
Gyrocopter
369 picks · 497 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Slayers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Team Slayers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:40
Team Slayers 54%GG Boom 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Slayers — the game was taken by GG Boom in 39:32.
Game 2prediction correct35:23
Team Slayers 54%GG Boom 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Slayers — the game was taken by Team Slayers in 37:33.
Game 3prediction missed31:36
Team Slayers 54%GG Boom 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Slayers — the game was taken by GG Boom in 46:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Slayers · 54%
Series resultGG Boom 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3