PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGwin 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Lion
Roddgeee · 11 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 9 games
Enchantresssignature
AhFu · 8 games
Tusk
AhFu · 8 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 7 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
kpii · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Moon · 5 games
Execration
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 15 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 13 games
Elder Titansignature
RR · 11 games
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 9 games
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 9 games
Oracleoften banned
RR · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
456 picks · 182 bans
Snapfire
358 picks · 200 bans
Mars
346 picks · 556 bans
Puck
329 picks · 821 bans
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 479 bans
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 612 bans
Tiny
303 picks · 241 bans
Enchantress
288 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 47%
Hero pool strength52% Team SMG
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total56% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 56%
Series resultTeam SMG 2:0
Series predictionmissed